Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Manresa		Cornellà

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.75	2.6
	3	3	2.22
	5.88	3.95	1.52	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.3
	3.09	3	2.25
	3	3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.22)	3.08 ↓ (3.15)	2.2 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manresa
27.1%

Draw
30.3%

Cornellà
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

27.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manresa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manresa's form might have worsened.

Cornellà has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cornellà's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manresa than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manresa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cornellà, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Manresa - Cornellà Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Serrano O. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Diaz A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Manresa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Manresa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Cornella	4	1	3	0	6:4	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Manresa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
21.12.25	Badalona - Manresa	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Manresa - Montañesa	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Manresa	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Manresa - Peralada	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Vic - Manresa	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWWTW
- UE Cornellà
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
21.12.25	Cornellà - CE Europa B	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Grama - Cornellà	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Cornellà - Tona	4:1 ✺
23.11.25	Lleida - Cornellà	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Cornellà - Vilanova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.08.22	Manresa - Cornellà	0:3
27.07.22	Manresa - Cornellà	3:0
28.07.21	Cornellà - Manresa	0:3

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