Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	San Diego Loyal		Charleston Battery

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.2	5.75
	1.43	3.85	6.5
	1.41	4.1	6
	1.42	4.31	7.99
	1.31	4.95	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.71)	4.28 ↑ (3.7)	6.89 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Loyal
65.4%

Draw
21.4%

Charleston Battery
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

24.7%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

24.7%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Loyal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Diego Loyal's performance.

Charleston Battery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charleston Battery might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Diego Loyal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charleston Battery could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Diego Loyal - Charleston Battery Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

San Diego Loyal has the most likely position - 1 (16.11%), has project points - 58, has currently - 12, has a good chance of playoffs (85%), has a good chance of qtrs (52%), has a chance of semis (26%), has a small chance of final (13%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

This event has small quality 13, small importance 16, small match rating 15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

San Diego Loyal is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Charleston Battery is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Charleston Battery could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match San Diego Loyal is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's San Diego Loyal to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Loyal
US Open Cup
06.04.22	Albion San Diego - San Diego Loyal	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
03.04.22	San Diego Loyal - El Paso Locomotive	3:2 ✺
26.03.22	Phoenix Rising - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
23.03.22	Tulsa - San Diego Loyal	1:0 ✺
19.03.22	San Diego Loyal - Sacramento Republic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWLW
- Charleston Battery
US Open Cup
07.04.22	Charleston Battery - South Georgia Tormenta	0:1
USL Championship
01.04.22	Charleston Battery - Las Vegas Lights	1:2 ✺
27.03.22	Atlanta United II - Charleston Battery	4:1 ✺
19.03.22	Detroit City - Charleston Battery	1:0 ✺
12.03.22	Charleston Battery - Tulsa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW

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