The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Diego Loyal 37.1%
Draw 27.2%
Sacramento Republic 35.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42%
26.8%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
27.6%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Loyal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego Loyal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sacramento Republic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
16.7%
50%
San Diego Loyal - Sacramento Republic Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. San Diego Loyal will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Koke Vegas (G) 3. Martin E. 13. Riley C. 32. Adams K. 11. Moshobane T. 17. Martin C. 14. Perez A. 7. Bodily B. 10. Guido A. (C) 9. Conway E. 8. Damus R.
31. Vitiello D. (G) 4. Desmond L. 24. Donovan C. 5. Timmer J. 29. Lopez A. 2. Gurr J. 19. Ross N. 96. Fernandes L. 3. Viader D. 9. Herrera J. 11. Cicerone R.
Substitutes
18. Collier E. 60. Ferree D. (G) 50. Gnaulati X. 2. Hackworth M. 30. Sagal S. 16. Simba C. 5. Stoneman G.
17. Archimede L. 7. Keko 10. Lewis Z. 1. Saldana C. (G) 40. Sanchez A. 25. Sousa F. 6. Wiedt S.
Coaches
MIller N.
Briggs M.
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
San Diego Loyal has the most likely position - 3 (15.63%), project points - 55, currently - 21, a good chance of playoffs (94%), a good chance of qtrs (51%), a chance of semis (26%), a small chance of final (13%), a small chance of win league (7%).
Sacramento Republic has the most likely position - 1 (36.97%), project points - 62, currently - 28, a very good chance of playoffs (99%), a good chance of qtrs (64%), a chance of semis (37%), a chance of final (20%), a small chance of win league (12%).
This event has small quality24, small importance10, small match rating17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 2.
Recent matches San Diego Loyal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sacramento Republic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently San Diego Loyal have a series of guest games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.
Including matches at home between the teams San Diego Loyal won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.