Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Wild Horse Pass Stadium (Chandler)

Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)


	Phoenix Rising		San Diego Loyal

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.7
	2.23	3.45	2.8
	2.33	3.59	2.8
	2.26	3.58	2.74	Watch
	2.24	3.5	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.76)	3.5 ↑ (3.24)	2.77 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phoenix Rising
40.7%

Draw
26.2%

San Diego Loyal
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

28%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Phoenix Rising's performance.

San Diego Loyal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Diego Loyal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Phoenix Rising - San Diego Loyal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Phoenix Rising has the most likely position - 1 (14.16%), project points - 54, currently - 1, a good chance of playoffs (86%), a chance of qtrs (50%), a chance of semis (27%), a small chance of final (14%), a small chance of win league (8%).

San Diego Loyal has the most likely position - 1 (16.1%), project points - 55, currently - 6, a good chance of playoffs (89%), a chance of qtrs (50%), a chance of semis (27%), a small chance of final (14%), a small chance of win league (7%).

This event has small quality 25, small importance 10, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 1.

San Diego Loyal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Phoenix Rising won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
19.03.23	San Diego Loyal - Phoenix Rising	3:0 ✺
11.03.23	Charleston Battery - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Phoenix Rising - Atlanta United II	3:1 ✺
08.10.22	Rio Grande Valley - Phoenix Rising	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Phoenix Rising - New York Red Bulls 2	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWLW
- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
25.03.23	Sacramento Republic - San Diego Loyal	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	San Diego Loyal - Phoenix Rising	3:0 ✺
11.03.23	San Diego Loyal - Detroit City	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	San Diego Loyal - Oakland Roots	0:3 ✺
15.10.22	Sacramento Republic - San Diego Loyal	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
19.03.23	San Diego Loyal - Phoenix Rising	3:0
17.09.22	San Diego Loyal - Phoenix Rising	3:0
26.03.22	Phoenix Rising - San Diego Loyal	2:3
24.07.21	San Diego Loyal - Phoenix Rising	0:1
19.06.21	San Diego Loyal - Phoenix Rising	2:1
05.06.21	Phoenix Rising - San Diego Loyal	2:2
30.04.21	Phoenix Rising - San Diego Loyal	4:1

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