Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 30 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Torero Stadium (San Diego)

Referee: Arreguin E. (Usa)


	San Diego Loyal		Colorado Springs Switchbacks

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.6	3.5	Watch
	1.82	3.7	3.65
	1.79	3.96	3.97
	1.75	3.84	4.1	Watch
	1.84	3.8	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.1)	3.78 ↑ (3.4)	3.75 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Loyal
51.2%

Draw
24.3%

Colorado Springs Switchbacks
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

26.6%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

26.3%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Loyal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Diego Loyal's performance.

Colorado Springs Switchbacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colorado Springs Switchbacks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Diego Loyal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Springs Switchbacks than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colorado Springs Switchbacks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Diego Loyal - Colorado Springs Switchbacks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koke Vegas (G) 13. Riley C. 5. Stoneman G. 4. Guzman C. 14. Perez A. 15. Corona J. 17. Martin C. 6. Adams C. (C) 7. Bodily B. 11. Moshobane T. 9. Conway E.	33. Kuzminsky J. (G) 12. Skundrich D. 5. Mahoney M. 23. Agren O. 41. Musa J. 80. Williams D. 24. Fjeldberg J. 17. Henriquez J. 8. Chapman J. 27. Tejada J. 99. Foster M.
Substitutes
. Chilaka M. 8. Damus R. 60. Ferree D. (G) 10. Guido A. 2. Hackworth M. . Matiti 16. Simba C.	11. Beckford D. 13. Echevarria S. 22. Erdmann D. 1. Herrera C. (G) 7. Magee T. 21. Wheeler A. 9. Williams R.
Coaches
MIller N.	Hogan S.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Colorado Springs could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently San Diego Loyal have a series of guest games.

San Diego Loyal will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-2.

Including matches at home between the teams San Diego Loyal won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Loyal
Club Friendly
27.07.23	San Diego Loyal - Borussia Dortmund	0:6 ✺
USL Championship
14.07.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - San Diego Loyal	0:5 ✺
08.07.23	Hartford Athletic - San Diego Loyal	0:2 ✺
01.07.23	Indy Eleven - San Diego Loyal	2:2 ✺
24.06.23	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - San Diego Loyal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWTL
- Colorado Springs Switchbacks
USL Championship
22.07.23	Phoenix Rising - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:1 ✺
14.07.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - San Diego Loyal	0:5 ✺
04.07.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Monterey Bay	4:0 ✺
01.07.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Miami	2:0 ✺
24.06.23	New Mexico United - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
14.07.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - San Diego Loyal	0:5
18.07.22	San Diego Loyal - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	3:0
04.07.22	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - San Diego Loyal	2:3

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