Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 1 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis)

Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)


	Indy Eleven		San Diego Loyal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.4
	2.55	3.25	2.55
	2.65	3.42	2.54
	2.4	3.2	2.6
	2.57	3.34	2.51	Watch
	2.46	3.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.29)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	2.53 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
36.5%

Draw
27.3%

San Diego Loyal
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

26.8%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

San Diego Loyal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Indy Eleven - San Diego Loyal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Indy will win (votes: 1 - 25%). San Diego Loyal will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Oettl Y. (G) 44. King M. 15. Arturo Diz 22. Dambrot R. 23. Boudadi Y. 6. Lindley C. 14. Quinn A. 77. Rissi G. 42. Martinez D. 13. Guenzatti S. (C) 21. Molina R.	1. Koke Vegas (G) 3. Martin E. 32. Adams K. 13. Riley C. 20. Moon N. 6. Adams C. (C) 15. Corona J. 17. Martin C. 9. Conway E. 11. Moshobane T. 14. Perez A.
Substitutes
20. Asante S. 4. Jerome M. 10. Robledo H. 35. Sanchez D. 1. Trilk T. (G) 2. Vazquez J. 7. Velasquez S.	7. Bodily B. 18. Collier E. 8. Damus R. 60. Ferree D. (G) 2. Hackworth M. 16. Kasanzu J. 5. Stoneman G.
Coaches
Lowry M.	MIller N.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Indy is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Diego Loyal is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

San Diego Loyal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Indy won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
24.06.23	Hartford Athletic - Indy Eleven	0:2 ✺
17.06.23	Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven	2:1 ✺
10.06.23	Indy Eleven - Hartford Athletic	1:1 ✺
02.06.23	Charleston Battery - Indy Eleven	0:4 ✺
27.05.23	Indy Eleven - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLTWL
- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
24.06.23	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - San Diego Loyal	2:1 ✺
14.06.23	San Diego Loyal - San Antonio	2:2 ✺
09.06.23	San Diego Loyal - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	San Antonio - San Diego Loyal	3:3 ✺
27.05.23	Oakland Roots - San Diego Loyal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
25.06.22	San Diego Loyal - Indy Eleven	5:0

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