Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Highmark Stadium (Pittsburgh)

Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)


	Pittsburgh Riverhounds		San Diego Loyal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.4	3.25	Watch
	1.87	3.6	3.55
	1.93	3.71	3.63
	2	3.3	3.25
	1.94	3.52	3.48	Watch
	2.02	3.55	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.63)	3.51 ↑ (3.5)	3.39 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
47%

Draw
26.1%

San Diego Loyal
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25.7%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

25%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pittsburgh Riverhounds's form might have worsened.

San Diego Loyal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Diego Loyal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pittsburgh Riverhounds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Diego Loyal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds - San Diego Loyal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Zamudio L. (G) 13. Biasi L. 28. Osumanu I. 5. Osuna Ordonez A. 6. Dossantos N. 12. DeShields M. 11. Forbes K. (C) 2. Griffin D. 23. Ybarra M. 8. Etou B. 24. Showunmi T.	1. Koke Vegas (G) 32. Adams K. 5. Stoneman G. 13. Riley C. 20. Moon N. 15. Corona J. 14. Perez A. 10. Guido A. (C) 7. Bodily B. 9. Conway E. 18. Collier E.
Substitutes
7. Blackstock L. 16. Fahling B. 15. Farrell J. 1. Garner C. (G) 22. Lopez T. 4. Rovira D. 20. Zwetsloot Antonius T.	6. Adams C. 8. Damus R. 60. Ferree D. (G) 17. Martin C. 3. Martin E. 11. Moshobane T. 16. Simba C.
Coaches
Lilley B.	MIller N.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

San Diego Loyal has the most likely position - 4 (15.03%), project points - 55, currently - 22, a good chance of playoffs (93%), a chance of qtrs (50%), a chance of semis (25%), a small chance of final (12%), a small chance of win league (6%).

Pittsburgh is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches San Diego Loyal is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pittsburgh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pittsburgh will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Championship
17.06.23	Oakland Roots - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0 ✺
10.06.23	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Charleston Battery	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
06.06.23	Cincinnati - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	3:1 ✺
USL Championship
03.06.23	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Phoenix Rising	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Loudoun United - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLWW
- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
14.06.23	San Diego Loyal - San Antonio	2:2 ✺
09.06.23	San Diego Loyal - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	San Antonio - San Diego Loyal	3:3 ✺
27.05.23	Oakland Roots - San Diego Loyal	2:0 ✺
20.05.23	Miami - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTTLW

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