Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Dillon Stadium (East Hartford)

Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)


	Hartford Athletic		San Diego Loyal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.05
	3	3.6	2.08
	2.98	4.01	2.12
	3.1	3.6	2.06	Watch
	2.9	3.8	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.6)	3.7 ↑ (3.25)	2.08 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartford Athletic
31%

Draw
24.8%

San Diego Loyal
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

28%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

27.5%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

San Diego Loyal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Diego Loyal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Diego Loyal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Hartford Athletic - San Diego Loyal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hartford will win (votes: 1 - 25%). San Diego Loyal will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Rice J. (G) 28. McGlynn C. 50. Logue N. 5. Hodge T. 72. Rito E. 10. Barrera D. 8. Torres J. 19. Merrill L. 7. Saydee P. 9. Amoh E. 29. Hoppenot A.	1. Koke Vegas (G) 13. Riley C. 5. Stoneman G. 3. Martin E. 14. Perez A. 15. Corona J. 17. Martin C. 6. Adams C. 7. Bodily B. 11. Moshobane T. 9. Conway E.
Substitutes
17. Edwards K. 21. Kibato K. 22. Lapert R. 77. Lewis A. 3. Rad K. 1. Sanchez R. (G) 16. Sheldon M.	32. Adams K. 18. Collier E. 8. Damus R. 60. Ferree D. (G) 10. Guido A. 2. Hackworth M. 16. Kasanzu J.
Coaches
Namazi O.	MIller N.

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Hartford has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches San Diego Loyal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

San Diego Loyal will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hartford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
03.07.23	Loudoun United - Hartford Athletic	2:1 ✺
24.06.23	Hartford Athletic - Indy Eleven	0:2 ✺
17.06.23	Hartford Athletic - Charleston Battery	3:4 ✺
14.06.23	Hartford Athletic - Detroit City	1:3 ✺
10.06.23	Indy Eleven - Hartford Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLT
- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
01.07.23	Indy Eleven - San Diego Loyal	2:2 ✺
24.06.23	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - San Diego Loyal	2:1 ✺
14.06.23	San Diego Loyal - San Antonio	2:2 ✺
09.06.23	San Diego Loyal - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	San Antonio - San Diego Loyal	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
11.06.22	San Diego Loyal - Hartford Athletic	3:0

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