Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	San Fernando		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.63
	2.4	3	2.65
	2.55	3.2	2.65	Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.66
	2.64	3.14	2.78
	2.57	3.18	2.62
	2.46	3.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.06)	3.15 ↓ (3.18)	2.66 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
36.3%

Draw
29.2%

Atlético Madrid B
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

28.6%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

27.7%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Fernando's form might have worsened.

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Madrid B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Fernando, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Madrid B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Fernando - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Lillo 5. Blanco C. 23. Ramirez J. 15. Ruiz V. 11. Aquino D. 20. Masogo A. 18. Naveira U. 16. Herrera C. 9. Ribeiro 21. Arroyo N.	13. Iturbe A. (G) 18. Aguilar Lopez G. 3. Moreno M. 4. Gomez M. 15. Martinez D. 22. Perez P. 23. Gismera A. 6. Ndiaye Dione A. 17. Nino A. 9. Touaizi N. 11. El Jebari S.
Substitutes
13. Arana E. (G) 22. Davila Y. 4. Farrando M. 14. Fullana F. 12. Lopez A. 8. Martin A. 19. Martinez P. 10. Ramos D. 3. Ruiz L. 17. Sanchez A.	14. Arumi J. 27. Bonar J. 7. Bri D. 19. Mestanza A. 24. Mestre S. (G) 8. Mini 21. Raihani A.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 12).

Two teams are playing changeable.

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.02.24	Antequera - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	San Fernando - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Real Murcia - San Fernando	3:0 ✺
28.01.24	San Fernando - Algeciras	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Ceuta - San Fernando	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLTT
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.02.24	Atlético Madrid B - Atlético Baleares	3:0 ✺
11.02.24	Córdoba - Atlético Madrid B	4:1 ✺
03.02.24	Atlético Madrid B - Castellón	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Mérida AD - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Antequera - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.10.23	Atlético Madrid B - San Fernando	4:2

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