Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	San Fernando		Algeciras

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.88	3
	2.35	2.9	2.8
	2.4	3	3	Watch
	2.48	3	2.94
	2.41	2.98	3.2
	2	2.88	3.4
	2.36	3.02	3.09
	2.35	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.12)	2.95 ↑ (2.88)	3.05 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
39.2%

Draw
30.9%

Algeciras
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30.8%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28.5%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

San Fernando - Algeciras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Lillo 5. Blanco C. 23. Ramirez J. 15. Ruiz V. 7. Biabiany J. 10. Ramos D. 18. Naveira U. 22. Davila Y. 19. Martinez P. 11. Aquino D.	1. Lavin M. (G) 15. Diori Y. 3. Vicente A. 23. Rodriguez J. 11. Sanchez T. (C) 20. Garcia M. 6. Montes E. 4. Fernandez B. 22. Sardinero A. 9. Cueto J. 7. Zequi
Substitutes
13. Arana E. (G) 21. Arroyo N. 30. Duarte M. (G) 20. Estacio X. 14. Fullana F. 16. Leon C. 8. Martin A. 9. Ribeiro 17. Sanchez A.	5. Benavides C. 31. Dominiguez C. 26. Fernandez M. 13. Garcia L. (G) 16. Lopez A. 19. Lopez J. 25. Merchan D. 21. Milosevic S. 28. Navarro I. 2. Roldan R.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 1.

Recent matches San Fernando is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Algeciras is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

San Fernando will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-14.

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.01.24	Ceuta - San Fernando	0:0 ✺
13.01.24	San Fernando - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0 ✺
03.01.24	Ibiza - San Fernando	3:2 ✺
17.12.23	San Fernando - Alcoyano	0:3 ✺
10.12.23	San Fernando - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLLT
- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.01.24	Algeciras - Melilla	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Castellón - Algeciras	2:1 ✺
02.01.24	Algeciras - Recreativo Huelva	2:3 ✺
17.12.23	Málaga - Algeciras	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Algeciras - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.09.23	Algeciras - San Fernando	2:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.04.23	Algeciras - San Fernando	0:1
10.12.22	San Fernando - Algeciras	0:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.05.22	San Fernando - Algeciras	0:2
11.12.21	Algeciras - San Fernando	3:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.02.21	Algeciras - San Fernando	0:3
28.11.20	San Fernando - Algeciras	1:2

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