Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 33

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bahía Sur (San Fernando)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	San Fernando		Juventud de Torremolinos

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.28	3	3.05
	2.34	3.05	3.15
	2.29	3.05	3.09
	2.32	3.02	3.13
	2.28	3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.65)	3.01 ↓ (3.02)	3.08 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
40%

Draw
30.3%

Juventud de Torremolinos
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

30.4%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

30.1%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Fernando's performance.

Juventud de Torremolinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud de Torremolinos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Fernando that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud de Torremolinos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Fernando - Juventud de Torremolinos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, Castillo F. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

San Fernando is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Torremolinos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Fernando will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.04.25	Estepona - San Fernando	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	San Fernando - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Xerez Deportivo - San Fernando	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	San Fernando - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Minera - San Fernando	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTTLL
- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.04.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Almeria B	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Antoniano - Juventud de Torremolinos	3:2 ✺
06.04.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - La Unión	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Granada B - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Águilas - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.12.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - San Fernando	1:2

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