Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Bahía Sur (San Fernando)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	San Fernando		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.8	2.3
	3.05	2.85	2.37
	3.04	2.87	2.43
	3.05	2.97	2.4
	3.05	2.85	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.26)	2.87 ↓ (2.98)	2.37 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
30%

Draw
31.7%

UCAM Murcia
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

31%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

29.7%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

San Fernando - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, del Campo R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', Bouzaig A. 🟥,
90+1', 1 - 1, Silva Teles V. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 3.

San Fernando is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches UCAM Murcia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.4:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.04.25	Xerez Deportivo - San Fernando	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	San Fernando - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Minera - San Fernando	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Xerez CD - San Fernando	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	San Fernando - Almeria B	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLW
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.04.25	UCAM Murcia - Almeria B	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Antoniano - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	UCAM Murcia - La Unión	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Granada B - UCAM Murcia	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	UCAM Murcia - Linares Deportivo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.12.24	UCAM Murcia - San Fernando	1:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.02.22	UCAM Murcia - San Fernando	2:3
04.12.21	San Fernando - UCAM Murcia	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.05.21	San Fernando - UCAM Murcia	2:0
11.04.21	UCAM Murcia - San Fernando	3:1
24.11.19	San Fernando - UCAM Murcia	0:0
05.05.19	UCAM Murcia - San Fernando	2:1

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