Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 32

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Estepona		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	2	2.85	3.6
	2.01	2.9	3.85
	2.11	2.91	3.95
	2.07	2.9	3.84	Watch
	2.1	2.94	3.98
	2.01	2.9	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.56)	2.9 ↓ (3.02)	3.85 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
44.6%

Draw
31.6%

San Fernando
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30.4%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

29.7%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estepona's performance.

San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Fernando might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estepona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Fernando could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Estepona - San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, Garcia J. ⚽,
81', 2 - 0, Dago J. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Estepona is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Fernando is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Estepona will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estepona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.04.25	Almeria B - Estepona	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Estepona - Antoniano	1:3 ✺
30.03.25	La Unión - Estepona	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Estepona - Granada B	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Linares Deportivo - Estepona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLTWW
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.04.25	San Fernando - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Xerez Deportivo - San Fernando	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	San Fernando - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Minera - San Fernando	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Xerez CD - San Fernando	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.12.24	San Fernando - Estepona	1:0

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