Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 22

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bahía Sur (San Fernando)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	San Fernando		Linares Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.8	3.8
	2.02	2.87	4.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.19)	2.84 ↑ (2.76)	4.11 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
45.6%

Draw
32.2%

Linares Deportivo
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

33.3%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

33.7%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Linares Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

San Fernando - Linares Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
10', 1 - 0, Macias A. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Cano I. ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, Diaz H. (Pen),
45+1', 1 - 3, Dominguez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 2 - 3, Saez M. ⚽,
71', 3 - 3, Silva Teles V. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 2.

Recent matches San Fernando is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Linares is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Fernando will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.02.25	Villanovense - San Fernando	2:2 ✺
26.01.25	San Fernando - Linense	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Águilas - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	San Fernando - Orihuela	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	San Fernando - Cadiz CF B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWTWL
- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.02.25	Linares Deportivo - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Antoniano - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Linares Deportivo - La Unión	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Granada B - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Linares Deportivo - Xerez CD	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
29.09.24	Linares Deportivo - San Fernando	2:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.05.24	San Fernando - Linares Deportivo	2:1
22.10.23	Linares Deportivo - San Fernando	0:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.05.23	Linares Deportivo - San Fernando	1:1
04.12.22	San Fernando - Linares Deportivo	1:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.05.22	Linares Deportivo - San Fernando	3:0
10.09.21	San Fernando - Linares Deportivo	2:2

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