Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 18

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bahía Sur (San Fernando)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	San Fernando		Orihuela

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.75	3.1
	2.35	2.75	3.2
	2.34	2.81	3.28	Watch
	2.4	2.62	3.3
	2.41	2.76	3.28
	2.35	2.75	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (3.11)	2.74 ↓ (2.76)	3.23 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
38.6%

Draw
33.2%

Orihuela
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

33.2%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

30.7%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Fernando's performance.

Orihuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orihuela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Fernando that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orihuela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Fernando - Orihuela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 0, Macias A. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Orihuela is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

San Fernando will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.12.24	San Fernando - Cadiz CF B	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - San Fernando	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	San Fernando - Estepona	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	UCAM Murcia - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	San Fernando - Xerez Deportivo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWLL
- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.12.24	Almeria B - Orihuela	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Orihuela - Antoniano	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	La Unión - Orihuela	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Orihuela - Getafe	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.11.24	Orihuela - Granada B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.09.24	Orihuela - San Fernando	1:1

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