Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Linarejos (Linares)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Linares Deportivo		Almeria B

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.75
	1.67	3.46	5.05
	1.67	3.2	4.8
	1.67	3.32	5.03
	1.68	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.92)	3.36 ↑ (3.1)	4.93 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
54.5%

Draw
27.1%

Almeria B
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

29.3%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

23.8%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Linares Deportivo's performance.

Almeria B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almeria B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Linares Deportivo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almeria B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Linares Deportivo - Almeria B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Velazquez D. ⚽,
28', Hernandez A. 🟥,
45', 1 - 1, Kounia H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 2 - 1, Manny ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 1, Talaveron D. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Linares won 4.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Linares is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Linares won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Linares won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Linares	5	2	1	2	6:7	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
11.01.26	Águilas - Linares Deportivo	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Linares Deportivo - Melilla	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Puente Genil - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Linares Deportivo - Xerez Deportivo	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	CD Extremadura - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTLT
- Almeria B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
11.01.26	Almeria B - Xerez CD	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Lorca Deportiva - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Estepona - Almeria B	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Almeria B - Melilla	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Puente Genil - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.09.25	Almeria B - Linares Deportivo	0:1
02.02.25	Linares Deportivo - Almeria B	1:0
22.09.24	Almeria B - Linares Deportivo	1:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
16.02.20	Linares Deportivo - Almeria B	1:1
28.09.19	Almeria B - Linares Deportivo	0:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
13.05.18	Almeria B - Linares Deportivo	2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.04.16	Linares Deportivo - Almeria B	1:0

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