Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 35

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday


	San Fernando		Rayo Majadahonda

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.5
	1.98	3.1	3.3
	1.95	2.85	4.1
	2	3.06	4.36
	2.01	3.18	3.8
	2.04	3.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.07)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	3.76 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
46.1%

Draw
29.6%

Rayo Majadahonda
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

27.7%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

26.9%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+3%)

San Fernando - Rayo Majadahonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 13).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rayo Majadahonda is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

San Fernando will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.04.23	Fuenlabrada - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	San Fernando - Pontevedra	4:2 ✺
16.04.23	Algeciras - San Fernando	0:1 ✺
09.04.23	San Fernando - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Ferrol - San Fernando	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWTL
- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.04.23	Alcorcón - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Córdoba	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Linares Deportivo - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
09.04.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Algeciras	0:2 ✺
02.04.23	Fuenlabrada - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.01.23	Rayo Majadahonda - San Fernando	2:1

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