Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: PayPal Park (San Jose)

Referee: Dickerson J. (Usa)


	San Jose Earthquakes		Nashville SC

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.8	Watch
	2.42	3.46	3.08
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.31	3.5	2.92	Watch
	2.31	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.17)	3.39 ↑ (3.34)	2.95 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Jose Earthquakes
40.4%

Draw
27.7%

Nashville SC
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.1%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27.5%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

San Jose Earthquakes - Nashville SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Nashville will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nashville: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Daniel (G) 29. Akapo C. 26. Rodrigues 4. Mensah J. 21. Trauco M. 14. Yueill J. (C) 7. Gruezo C. 35. Monteiro J. 10. Espinoza C. 11. Ebobisse J. 44. Cowell C.	30. Panicco E. (G) 18. Moore S. 25. Zimmerman W. (C) 5. Maher J. 2. Lovitz D. 20. Godoy A. 27. Anunga T. 19. Muyl A. 10. Mukhtar H. 7. Picault F. 12. Bunbury T.
Substitutes
9. Akinola A. 15. Beason T. 12. Hoppe M. 93. Judson 28. Kikanovic B. 1. Marcinkowski J. (G) 3. Marie P. 22. Thompson T. 30. Tsakiris N.	22. Bauer J. 54. Davis S. 26. Haakenson L. 8. Leal R. 6. McCarty D. 14. Shaffelburg J. 9. Surridge S. 23. Washinghton T. 1. Willis J. (G)
Coaches
Gonzalez L.	Smith G.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Nashville could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

San Jose will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in San Jose: Nathan (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Nashville: DePuy N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in San Jose: Skahan J. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches San Jose won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams San Jose won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Jose Earthquakes
MLS
20.09.23	Portland Timbers - San Jose Earthquakes	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	San Jose Earthquakes - Real Salt Lake	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	DC United - San Jose Earthquakes	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United	1:1 ✺
30.08.23	San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTTL
- Nashville SC
MLS
20.09.23	Sporting Kansas City - Nashville SC	0:3 ✺
02.09.23	Nashville SC - Charlotte	1:1 ✺
30.08.23	Inter Miami - Nashville SC	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Atlanta United - Nashville SC	4:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
19.08.23	Nashville SC - Inter Miami	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
11.06.22	Nashville SC - San Jose Earthquakes	0:0
16.04.22	San Jose Earthquakes - Nashville SC	2:2

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