The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Jose Earthquakes 44.9%
Draw 25.1%
Seattle Sounders 30%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
27.1%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.7%
27%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Jose Earthquakes's performance.
Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Seattle Sounders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Jose Earthquakes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seattle Sounders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.6%
7.1%
14.3%
San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Seattle will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 57.1% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Seattle (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.25 - San Jose (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Jose Earthquakes will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. San Jose (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Seattle (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
42. Daniel (G) 28. Kikanovic B. 5. Munie D. 18. Roberts R. 24. Jones D. 14. Vieira R. (C) 34. Leroux B. 7. Bouda O. 10. Tsakiris N. 11. Werner T. 19. Judd P.
26. Thomas A. (G) 33. Baker C. 35. Lopez A. 25. Ragen J. 5. Nouhou (C) 45. Kingston P. 44. Petkovic N. 14. Rothrock P. 9. Ferreira J. 93. Minoungou G. 19. Musovski D.
Substitutes
36. Edwards E. (G) 20. Fernandez N. 40. Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 6. Harkes I. 3. Marie P. 2. Ricketts J. 4. Romney D. 16. Skahan J. 87. Vitor Costa
17. Arriola P. 37. Brunell S. 95. De Rosario O. 24. Frei S. (G) 90. Gomez S. 85. Kossa-Rienzi K. 16. Roldan A. 7. Roldan C. 11. Rusnak A.
Coaches
Arena B.
Schmetzer B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Nouhou 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Rothrock P. ⚽, Ferreira J. (A), Musovski D. (A2)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ferreira J. ↓, Rusnak A. ↑,
46', Petkovic N. 🟨,
56', Musovski D. 🟨,
57', Jones D. ↓, Vitor Costa ↑,
59', Kingston P. 🟨,
65', Petkovic N. ↓, Roldan A. ↑,
65', Musovski D. ↓, De Rosario O. ↑,
65', Minoungou G. ↓, Roldan C. ↑,
77', Leroux B. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
77', Bouda O. ↓, Skahan J. ↑,
86', Kingston P. ↓, Brunell S. ↑,
86', Tsakiris N. 🟨,
90+1', Kikanovic B. ↓, Marie P. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2.
San Jose has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Seattle has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Seattle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, San Jose has had a series of home games.
Recently, Seattle has had a series of away games.
San Jose might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Seattle: Hawkins S.
(Inactive)
Kim Kee-Hee
(Calf Injury)
Morris J.
(Injury)
Sailor R.
(Knee Injury)
de La Vega P.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:36. (average 1.4:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Seattle Sounders - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.38%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Daniel (G) 
Kikanovic B. 
Vieira R. (C) 
Bouda O. 
Werner T. 
Nouhou (C) 
Petkovic N. 
Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 
Marie P. 
De Rosario O. 
Roldan A. 
Rusnak A. 
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