The best margin for this event is 12.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Izarra 44.5%
Draw 30.7%
San Juan 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
30.1%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
29.1%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Izarra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izarra than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Juan than the current prediction. (+3%)
Izarra - San Juan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Madariaga J. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Diaz Montes M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Izarra won 1.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Izarra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Izarra won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Izarra won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Izarra
5
5
0
0
18:2
16
15
8
AD San Juan
5
2
1
2
9:7
2
7
Last Results with these Odds
Izarra - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 41.28%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.