Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 8

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	San Juan		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	6.75	3.7	1.43
	8	4	1.42
	7.84	3.91	1.45
	7.84	3.91	1.46
	7.6	3.92	1.4
	7	3.5	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.51 ↑ (4.7)	3.82 ↑ (3.24)	1.44 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Juan
12.2%

Draw
24%

UD Logroñés
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

28.1%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

27.7%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Juan's form might have worsened.

UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UD Logroñés's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Juan than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Juan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UD Logroñés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Juan - UD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

San Juan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Logroñés is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Juan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Logroñés is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD San Juan
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.10.23	Brea - San Juan	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	San Juan - Gernika	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
04.10.23	Badalona Futur - San Juan	3:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
30.09.23	Real Sociedad C - San Juan	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
27.09.23	San Juan - Penya Independent	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLW
- UD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.10.23	UD Logroñés - Mutilvera	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
11.10.23	LEntregu - UD Logroñés	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.10.23	Zaragoza B - UD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
04.10.23	UD Logroñés - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	4:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.10.23	UD Logroñés - Alavés B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTWT

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