Match Info

Date: 6 May 2021, Thursday


	San Lorenzo		12 de Octubre

	1	X	2
	1.61	4	5	Watch
	1.6	3.6	5
	1.58	3.45	5.6	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5
	1.67	3.68	5.6
	1.67	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.64	3.74	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.36)	3.64 ↓ (4.39)	5.23 ↓ (7.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
56.9%

Draw
25.4%

12 de Octubre
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

20.7%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

12.1%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.

12 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Lorenzo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 12 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+4%)

San Lorenzo - 12 de Octubre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches San Lorenzo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

12 de Octubre is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match San Lorenzo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.05.21	San Lorenzo - Godoy Cruz	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.21	Rosario Central - San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.04.21	River Plate - San Lorenzo	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
21.04.21	San Lorenzo - Huachipato	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
17.04.21	San Lorenzo - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWLT
- 12 de Octubre FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.04.21	12 de Octubre - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.04.21	Huachipato - 12 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.04.21	Sol de América - 12 de Octubre	0:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.04.21	12 de Octubre - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.04.21	12 de Octubre - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
06.11.20	12 de Octubre - San Lorenzo	0:1
13.08.20	12 de Octubre - San Lorenzo	1:0
24.01.20	San Lorenzo - 12 de Octubre	1:0

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