Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Bolivia	ESPN
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Ecuador	ESPN
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Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
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Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 3
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World	Onefootball, TyC Sports Internacional


	River Plate		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	6	Watch
	1.63	3.6	5.75
	1.62	3.5	6.2	Watch
	1.66	3.67	6.46
	1.62	3.69	5.98	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5.5
	1.63	3.52	5.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.63)	3.55 ↑ (3.52)	5.97 ↑ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate
57.8%

Draw
26.5%

San Lorenzo
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

26.6%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

26.1%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

River Plate - San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: River Plate will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Beltran S. (G) 29. Montiel G. 28. Martinez Quarta L. (C) 13. Rivero L. 21. Acuna M. 15. Fausto Vera 6. Moreno A. 8. Meza M. 26. Galvan T. 11. Colidio F. 9. Driussi S.	12. Gill O. (G) 32. Herrera E. 4. Romana J. 55. Montenegro L. 24. Tripichio N. (C) 13. Rattalino J. 8. Insaurralde M. 6. De Ritis M. 28. Barrios N. 11. Reali M. 29. Auzmendi R.
Substitutes
16. Bustos F. 33. Centurion E. (G) 35. Freitas J. 34. Giuliano Galoppo 31. Gonzalez F. 19. Paez K. 20. Pezzella G. 10. Quintero J. 7. Salas M. 44. Silva L. 38. Subiabre I. 18. Vina M.	26. Abrego G. 35. Cordoba A. 16. Corujo G. 25. Devecchi J. (G) 10. Gulli F. 18. Herazo D. 44. Hernandez M. 14. Ladstatter A. 34. Lopez F. 5. Perruzzi I. 17. Rodriguez G. 3. Rodriguez Pagano T.
Coaches
Coudet E.	Alvarez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Herrera E. 🟨,
31', Reali M. 🟥,
37', 0 - 1, Auzmendi R. ⚽, Barrios N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Meza M. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Acuna M. ⚽, Quintero J. (A),
59', Rattalino J. ↓, Perruzzi I. ↑,
59', Barrios N. ↓, Gulli F. ↑,
65', Colidio F. ↓, Salas M. ↑,
66', Galvan T. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
77', Fausto Vera ↓, Paez K. ↑,
77', Tripichio N. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
86', Auzmendi R. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
90+3', Subiabre I. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
93', Moreno A. 🟨,
94', 1 - 2, Lopez F. ⚽, Gulli F. (A),
100', Acuna M. ↓, Freitas J. ↑,
105', Gulli F. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
105', Driussi S. ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
119', Herrera E. ↓, Corujo G. ↑,
120+1', 2 - 2, Quintero J. ⚽, Moreno A. (A),
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Quintero J. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Insaurralde M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Giuliano Galoppo (Penalty Awarded),
2, Corujo G. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Salas M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Herazo D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Paez K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Reali M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Montiel G. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Perruzzi I. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Freitas J. (Penalty Awarded),
6, De Ritis M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, River Plate is the team to beat.

There will not play in River Plate: Armani F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Costantini G. (Knee Injury) Diaz P. (Inactive) Driussi S. (Muscle Injury) Fausto Vera (Knee Injury) Portillo J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N. (Knee Injury) Cardillo M. (Inactive) Cerutti E. (Knee Injury) Hernandez G. (Knee Injury) Herrera D. (Knee Injury) Perruzzi F. (Inactive) Vietto L. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 0.8:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.26	Carabobo - River Plate	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.26	River Plate - Atlético Tucumán	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - River Plate	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.04.26	River Plate - Aldosivi	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	River Plate - Boca Juniors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL
- San Lorenzo
Copa Sudamericana
05.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.26	San Lorenzo - Independiente	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.26	San Lorenzo - Santos	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.04.26	Platense - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
20.04.26	San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.07.25	River Plate - San Lorenzo	0:0
02.02.25	San Lorenzo - River Plate	0:0
04.12.24	River Plate - San Lorenzo	1:1
08.07.23	San Lorenzo - River Plate	0:0
18.09.22	San Lorenzo - River Plate	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
05.03.22	San Lorenzo - River Plate	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.10.21	River Plate - San Lorenzo	3:1

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