Match Info
Reserve League - Apertura - Round 16Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday
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San Lorenzo 2 |
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Vélez Sársfield 2 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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3.40 |
3.50 |
1.85 |
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3.20 |
3.25 |
1.98 |
Watch |
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3.71 |
3.65 |
1.89 |
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3.64 |
3.47 |
1.91 |
Watch |
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3.50 |
3.30 |
1.85 |
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3.71 |
3.71 |
1.89 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.53 ↑
(3.11) |
3.48 ↑
(3.15) |
1.9 ↓
(2.22) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
San Lorenzo 2
25.8% | Draw
26.2% | Vélez Sársfield 2
48% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vélez Sársfield 2's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo 2 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vélez Sársfield 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 69', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 89', 🟥,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)). Vélez 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo 2 won 2.Recent performances by San Lorenzo 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Vélez 2 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).San Lorenzo 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Vélez 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.9:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
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Latest Head to Head
| Argentinian Reserve League | | | 08.08.25 | San Lorenzo 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 | 1:0 | | 06.07.25 | Vélez Sársfield 2 - San Lorenzo 2 | 3:1 ET | | 13.03.25 | Vélez Sársfield 2 - San Lorenzo 2 | 2:1 | | 18.07.24 | San Lorenzo 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 | 2:1 | | 08.02.24 | Vélez Sársfield 2 - San Lorenzo 2 | 3:0 | | 28.04.23 | San Lorenzo 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 | 1:1 | | 10.10.22 | Vélez Sársfield 2 - San Lorenzo 2 | 2:0 |
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