The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Luis de Quillota 39.4%
Draw 29.8%
San Marcos de Arica 30.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
28.6%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
28.7%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Luis de Quillota has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
San Luis de Quillota - San Marcos de Arica Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. San Luis will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). San Marcos de Arica will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Abarzua F. (G) 4. Duran V. 3. Meza I. 6. Munoz L. 13. Munoz Alister N. 28. Guerra Rojas M. 5. Torres J. 21. Pastenes F. 8. Acosta C. 9. Madrigal G. 10. Parada S. (C)
13. Tapia B. (G) 3. Aguila Bastias Y. M. 5. Rivera J. 23. Cazula A. 10. Sagredo B. 18. Galleguillos A. 15. Cubillos G. 24. Pereira D. 26. Rencoret C. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C. 22. Donadell N.
Substitutes
34. Catalan D. 19. Gonzalez D. 31. Pinilla Y. 27. Plaza G. 7. Vergara S. 32. Villegas A. 29. Yanez T. (G)
20. Abalos A. 8. Barrios A. 14. Guerra C. 31. Larrondo D. 16. Reyes G. 1. Saracho R. (G) 11. Zedan N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Galleguillos A. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Pastenes F. ⚽,
37', Meza I. 🟨,
45+4', Acosta C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Galleguillos A. ↓, Reyes G. ↑,
46', Pereira D. ↓, Guerra C. ↑,
52', Guerra Rojas M. 🟨,
63', Madrigal G. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
64', Reyes G. ↓, Abalos A. ↑,
71', Acosta C. ↓, Catalan D. ↑,
77', Rivera J. ↓, Zedan N. ↑,
80', 🟨,
85', Donadell N. ↓, Barrios A. ↑,
89', Barrios A. 🟨,
90+4', Parada S. ↓, Plaza G. ↑,
90+5', Cazula A. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Luis won 0.
San Luis is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
San Marcos de Arica's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
San Luis might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Luis won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, San Luis won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
San Luis
26
13
8
5
41:29
12
47
7
San Marcos de Arica
26
10
9
7
33:24
9
39
Last Results with these Odds
San Luis de Quillota - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.94%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
San Marcos de Arica - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.44%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Chile
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Abarzua F. (G) 
Torres J. 
Acosta C. 
Gonzalez D. 
Zedan N. 
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