The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Recoleta 36.2%
Draw 28.6%
San Luis de Quillota 35.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.9%
29.1%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
29.8%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
San Luis de Quillota has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Deportes Recoleta - San Luis de Quillota Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Recoleta will win (votes: 2 - 50%). San Luis will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Vargas J. (G) 11. Viveros D. 4. Tomarelli F. 16. Viveros B. 14. Lara I. 17. Carvajal N. 6. Espinoza J. 19. Sanchez P. 7. Provoste B. 9. Estigarribia G. (C) 20. Gonzalez C.
1. Peranic N. (C) 3. Meza I. 6. Munoz L. 28. Guerra Rojas M. 4. Duran V. 13. Munoz Alister N. 5. Torres J. 27. Plaza G. 7. Vergara S. 21. Pastenes F. 10. Parada S.
Substitutes
5. Alarcon F. 21. Alvarez G. 10. Arguinarena M. 3. Arismendy N. 8. Martin F. 28. Rodriguez C. 23. Salazar A. (G)
12. Abarzua F. (G) 8. Acosta C. 34. Catalan D. 15. Cortes F. 31. Pinilla Y. 36. Tapia L. 32. Villegas A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Peranic N. 🟨,
12', Sanchez P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Plaza G. ↓, Catalan D. ↑,
61', Vergara S. ↓, Pinilla Y. ↑,
72', Gonzalez C. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
72', Provoste B. ↓, Martin F. ↑,
79', Carvajal N. ↓, Arguinarena M. ↑,
90', Meza I. ↓, Cortes F. ↑,
90+1', Duran V. ↓, Villegas A. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 1.
Recoleta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, San Luis has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
San Luis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 2.2:2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
San Luis
26
13
8
5
41:29
12
47
6
Recoleta
26
11
8
7
38:34
4
41
Last Results with these Odds
San Luis de Quillota - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.06%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Chile
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Vargas J. (G) 
Estigarribia G. (C) 
Acosta C. 
Tapia L. 
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