Match Info

Primera B - Round 3

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Francisco Boga Stadium (Buenos Aires)


	San Martín de Burzaco		Villa San Carlos

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.78	3.1	Watch
	2.38	2.79	3.25
	2.33	2.9	3.14	Watch
	2.3	2.63	3.2
	2.34	2.77	3.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.25)	2.77 ↓ (3)	3.18 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Burzaco
38.9%

Draw
32.6%

Villa San Carlos
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

30.5%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Villa San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

San Martín de Burzaco - Villa San Carlos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 6. Barrera N. 5. Denis K. 10. Gauna N. A. 8. Gonzalez R. 4. Lazarev R. 7. Modon S. 2. Orellana D. 11. Serpa I. 3. Siliman A. 9. Zagert E.	1. Akimenco T. (G) 10. Cairo F. 3. Canete S. 11. Farias F. 4. Lloyaiy A. (C) 7. Lugones A. 2. Machin L. 8. Mussis F. 6. Ojeda F. 9. Plastino M. 5. Ponton A.
Substitutes
17. Diaz R. 14. Escudero M. 20. Funes A. 16. Lezcano L. 12. Marchesi N. (G) 15. Peralta R. 13. Tobon J. 18. Torres A. 19. Velazquez R.	15. Acosta A. 12. Bangardino P. (G) 14. Fabi S. 16. Flores S. 13. Garraza M. 20. Melillo E. 17. Pavia K. 18. Salinas R. 19. Zabala F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Denis K. 🟨,
33', Plastino M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
62', Ponton A. ↓, Pavia K. ↑,
62', Plastino M. ↓, Acosta A. ↑,
62', Farias F. ↓, Salinas R. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Lugones A. ⚽,
65', 🟨,
66', Gonzalez R. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
71', Siliman A. ↓, Velazquez R. ↑,
71', Orellana D. ↓, Lezcano L. ↑,
73', Canete S. ↓, Garraza M. ↑,
75', Mussis F. 🟨,
81', Cairo F. ↓, Melillo E. ↑,
83', Denis K. ↓, Peralta R. ↑,
83', Zagert E. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Melillo E. ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, Gauna N. A. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 3, Salinas R. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, Serpa I. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', 🟨,
90+8', 3 - 3, Gauna N. A. ⚽,
90+9', 🟨,
90+9', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 1.

SM de Burzaco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, SM de Burzaco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	San Martin Burzaco	38	12	14	12	39:41	-2	50
13	Villa San Carlos	38	11	14	13	37:39	-2	47

Last Results with these Odds

Villa San Carlos - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 28.86%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Burzaco
Argentinian Primera B
22.02.26	Liniers - San Martín de Burzaco	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Real Pilar	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Merlo	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Sportivo Dock Sud - San Martín de Burzaco	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Villa San Carlos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLWT
- CA Villa San Carlos
Argentinian Primera B
22.02.26	Villa San Carlos - Ituzaingó	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Villa San Carlos - Liniers	0:1 ✺
02.12.25	Acassuso - Villa San Carlos	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Villa San Carlos - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Comunicaciones - Villa San Carlos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
01.11.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Villa San Carlos	1:1
07.06.25	Villa San Carlos - San Martín de Burzaco	2:1
06.07.24	Villa San Carlos - San Martín de Burzaco	0:0
16.02.24	San Martín de Burzaco - Villa San Carlos	1:0
Argentinian Primera C
18.04.19	San Martín de Burzaco - Villa San Carlos	0:0
09.11.18	Villa San Carlos - San Martín de Burzaco	2:0

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