The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Dock Sud 41.4%
Draw 31.6%
San Martín de Burzaco 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.1%
27.9%
22.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
26.9%
22%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Dock Sud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Dock Sud's form might have worsened.
San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Dock Sud than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Dock Sud, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (-5%)
Sportivo Dock Sud - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tello T. (G) 11. Alvarez I. 8. Avalos A. 10. Gomez G. 4. Guerrero N. 6. Meza F. 3. Obregon J. 5. Perrone H. 7. Villalba B. 2. Villarreal S. 9. Vivas S.
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 9. Chavez B. 10. Cuenca C. 5. Denis K. 6. Gonzalez R. 2. Lazarev R. 4. Lezcano L. 8. Modon S. 3. Siliman A. 11. Treppo E. 7. Velazquez R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Alvarez I. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Velazquez R. ⚽,
45+2', Siliman A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
63', 2 - 1, Vivas S. ⚽,
70', Modon S. 🟨,
71', Siliman A. ↓, Lezcano L. ↑,
71', Treppo E. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
71', Peralta R. ↓, Funes A. ↑,
71', Alvarez I. ↓, Chamorro T. ↑,
76', 🟨,
77', 3 - 1, Vivas S. ⚽,
78', Obregon J. ↓, Eichhorn O. ↑,
84', Avalos A. ↓, Nicolaievsky F. ↑,
84', Gomez G. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
85', Modon S. ↓, Costa L. ↑,
85', Gauna N. A. ↓, Geneiro L. ↑,
88', 4 - 1, Villalba B. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dock Sud won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Dock Sud might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Dock Sud won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Dock Sud won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
San Martin Burzaco
38
12
14
12
39:41
-2
50
12
Dock Sud
38
11
14
13
40:42
-2
47
Last Results with these Odds
San Martín de Burzaco - the odds 3.9 are the expected chance of winning is 22.93%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.