Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio General Jose de San Martin (San Martin)


	San Martín de Mendoza		Sarmiento de La Banda

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.75	3.3
	2.2	2.72	3.45
	2.24	2.67	3.51
	2.28	2.93	3.39	Watch
	2.22	2.8	3.44
	2.19	2.7	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 (2.22)	2.76 ↓ (2.8)	3.42 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Mendoza
40.7%

Draw
32.8%

Sarmiento de La Banda
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

32.4%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

32%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Sarmiento de La Banda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

San Martín de Mendoza - Sarmiento de La Banda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grinovero A. (G)
3. Almeida J.
6. Bernabe N.
8. Castro I.
5. Decimo E.
11. Gomez E.
10. Mancini V.
4. Mercado V.
9. Rivarola F.
7. Romero S.
2. Ruiz F.
Substitutes
18. Collera K.
14. Cuenca S.
19. Gonzalez D.
20. Heiz N.
15. Marital J.
13. Mas L.
17. Paz I.
16. Rojo M. R.
12. Rosa N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Mendoza
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.09.25	Sol de Mayo - San Martín de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	San Martín de Mendoza - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Juventud Unida Universitario - San Martín de Mendoza	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	San Martín de Mendoza - Huracán Las Heras	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Guillermo Brown - San Martín de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLTT
- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.09.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Sarmiento de La Banda	4:1 ✺
31.08.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:0 ✺
10.08.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - 9 de Julio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLT

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