Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Jose Maria Paz (Chivilcoy)


	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy		Sarmiento de La Banda

	1	X	2
	2.00	2.75	3.90
	1.98	2.68	4.1
	1.88	2.77	4.53
	2.06	2.76	4.18	Watch
	1.86	2.7	4.45
	2.09	3.03	3.86
	1.95	2.85	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.62)	2.79 ↓ (3.4)	4.1 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
45.7%

Draw
32.3%

Sarmiento de La Banda
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

26.4%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

25.3%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy's form might have worsened.

Sarmiento de La Banda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de La Banda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dormisch N. (G) 4. Dauria M. 10. Ferreira P. 2. Fiol F. 3. Gallo M. 8. Gutierrez M. 7. Medina R. 9. Morales E. 11. Salvaggio M. 6. Samaniego L. 5. Zarate A.	1. Acuna F. (G) 4. Diaz C. 11. Diaz Cantoni M. 9. Garzon I. 6. Guzman G. 7. Juarez N. 2. Nunez C. 10. Roldan I. 5. Sanchez Arriola M. 3. Sanchez M. 8. Triverio G.
Substitutes
18. Almada L. 15. Bassi E. 13. D'Amelio X. 14. Flores F. 12. Ilchischen N. (G) 16. Millan J. 20. Ortiz N. 17. Salinardi A. M. 19. Visser B.	20. Bernal R. 19. Gutierrez E. 12. Mendonca J. (G) 17. Perrone L. 15. Salto S. 13. Tevez A. 18. Toloza A. 16. Veliz R. 14. Zaineddin L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Zarate A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', 🟨,
51', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Gimnasia Chivilcoy is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Including home match between the teams, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.08.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
12.08.26	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLTT
- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.08.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sportivo Belgrano	3:0 ✺
16.08.26	Douglas Haig - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:1 ✺
12.08.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sol de América de Formosa	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Tucuman Central - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:0

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