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Current Win Probability
San Martín de San Juan 44.1%
Draw 32.3%
Atlanta Buenos Aires 23.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
32.9%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
31.9%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Martín de San Juan's performance.
Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta Buenos Aires might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de San Juan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta Buenos Aires could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
16.7%
33.3%
San Martín de San Juan - Atlanta Buenos Aires Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Atlanta will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Diaz Robles S. (G) 6. Osores M. 2. Aguilera E. 4. Cocca M. 3. Zuliani H. 8. Murillo F. 5. Pelaitay N. (C) 7. Nadalin F. 10. Gonzalez S. 9. Funez N. 11. Juncos B.
1. Rago F. (G) 4. Ostachuk P. 6. Galeano L. 2. Moreira R. 3. Sosa R. 5. Previtali N. (C) 8. Castro Ponce T. 10. Puch J. 7. Garcia M. 9. Quintana A. 11. Rodriguez I.
Substitutes
16. Acosta G. 17. Hachen G. 19. Iachetti N. 15. Jaurena S. 18. Lattanzio C. 13. Marchio J. 14. Monje L. 20. Rossi G. 12. Velazco M. (G)
18. Alvarez F. 17. Benitez K. 16. Bernardi C. 20. Castro F. 19. Ibarra M. 12. Lopez Kaleniuk L. (G) 14. Mendoza G. 15. Rivero B. 13. Rojas T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Pelaitay N. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Osores M. ⚽, Gonzalez S. (A),
32', Puch J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sosa R. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
46', Ostachuk P. ↓, Mendoza G. ↑,
46', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
61', Garcia M. 🟨,
64', Juncos B. ↓, Lattanzio C. ↑,
72', Gonzalez S. ↓, Hachen G. ↑,
72', Zuliani H. ↓, Monje L. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Moreira R. ⚽, Puch J. (A),
78', Puch J. ↓, Benitez K. ↑,
82', Lattanzio C. 🟨,
85', Galeano L. ↓, Rojas T. ↑,
87', Rodriguez I. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
87', Cocca M. ↓, Iachetti N. ↑,
87', Nadalin F. ↓, Marchio J. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Alvarez F. ⚽, Castro Ponce T. (A),
90+3', Alvarez F. 🟨,
Preview
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Atlanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
San Martín will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).