The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Martín de San Juan 49%
Draw 30%
Ferrocarril Midland 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
35%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
34.7%
26.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Martín de San Juan's performance.
Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferrocarril Midland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de San Juan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferrocarril Midland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Martín de San Juan - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Diaz Robles S. (G) 4. Nadalin F. 2. Osores M. 6. Cocca M. 3. Zuliani H. 5. Mercado Carrizo D. A. 10. Gonzalez S. 8. Murillo F. 7. Acosta G. 11. Coronel F. 9. Rossi G.
1. Leguiza M. (G) 2. Castorani P. 4. Muia T. 6. Recalde L. 3. Casarico P. 5. Violini N. 9. Flores M. 8. Camano J. 10. Roseti M. 11. Penepil M. 7. Bulacio D.
Substitutes
13. Aguilera E. 18. Alvarez D. 19. Ferreyra L. 12. Garzon L. (G) 14. Hachen G. 20. Iachetti N. 17. Nieva R. 16. Pelaitay N. 15. Rumbolo R.
15. Abruzzese M. 14. Andrada I. 18. Cao R. 12. Escobar L. (G) 16. Frattini M. 20. Luna R. 17. Madalon V. 13. Olavarria M. 19. Perales J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Gonzalez S. ⚽, Murillo F. (A),
32', Murillo F. ↓, Rumbolo R. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Muia T. ↓, Andrada I. ↑,
46', Penepil M. ↓, Perales J. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Flores M. ⚽, Andrada I. (A),
59', Recalde L. ↓, Olavarria M. ↑,
68', Acosta G. ↓, Iachetti N. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Roseti M. ⚽, Flores M. (A),
80', Coronel F. ↓, Nieva R. ↑,
81', Zuliani H. ↓, Alvarez D. ↑,
81', Gonzalez S. ↓, Ferreyra L. ↑,
81', Bulacio D. ↓, Cao R. ↑,
81', Flores M. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
84', Castorani P. 🟨,
87', 2 - 2, Ferreyra L. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', 3 - 2, Alvarez D. ⚽,
90+3', Camano J. 🟨,
90+6', Zuliani H. 🟥,
90+6', Perales J. 🟥,
Preview
San Martín is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ferrocarril has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ferrocarril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ferrocarril has had a series of away games.
In this match, San Martín is the team to beat.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Martín won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Ferrocarril Midland - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 26.31%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.
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Diaz Robles S. (G) 
Flores M. 
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