The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Acassuso 26.2%
Draw 33.7%
Ferrocarril Midland 40.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
32.1%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
30.9%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Acassuso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Acassuso - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ferrocarril will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Monllor M. (G) 2. Bellatti S. D. N. 5. De Stefano D. 6. Dordoni B. 8. Dubini K. (C) 4. Etcheverri R. 10. Hermoso A. 7. Rey L. 11. Rodriguez T. 9. Romero L. 3. Serrano V.
1. Leguiza M. (G) 8. Aguilar D. 7. Bulacio D. 4. Castorani P. 2. Cepeda G. 9. Flores M. 11. Marin F. 3. Penepil M. 6. Recalde L. 10. Roseti M. 5. Violini N. (C)
Substitutes
13. Ghiraldello J. 12. Luque J. (G) 20. Monaco M. 15. Ponce J. 16. Postigo J. 19. Quattrocchi J. 18. Raccio J. 17. Reynoso R. 14. Ruiz A.
18. Cao R. 12. Escobar L. (G) 16. Frattini M. 15. Guzman D. 14. Lamosa B. 19. Luna R. 17. Madalon V. 13. Olavarria M. 20. Perales J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', De Stefano D. 🟨,
13', Aguilar D. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Bulacio D. ⚽,
45+2', Serrano V. 🟨,
45+2', Marin F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Aguilar D. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
57', Dubini K. ↓, Postigo J. ↑,
57', De Stefano D. ↓, Raccio J. ↑,
61', Marin F. ↓, Olavarria M. ↑,
64', Guzman D. 🟨,
70', Roseti M. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
70', Flores M. ↓, Madalon V. ↑,
70', Rey L. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
76', Bulacio D. 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Bellatti S. D. N. ⚽, Romero L. (A),
81', Penepil M. ↓, Perales J. ↑,
89', Romero L. ↓, Quattrocchi J. ↑,
89', Hermoso A. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Acassuso has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Ferrocarril is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Acassuso has had a series of away games.
Recently, Ferrocarril has had a series of home games.
Ferrocarril will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Acassuso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Acassuso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Acassuso - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 26.33%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Monllor M. (G) 
Flores M. 
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