Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 27

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ferrocarril Midland		Nueva Chicago

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.30	6.50
	1.66	3.20	5.50
	1.73	3.10	4.90	Watch
	1.68	3.48	6.20
	1.66	3.42	5.86	Watch
	1.65	3.40	5.85
	1.64	3.28	6.46	Watch
	1.64	3.20	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.75)	3.3 ↑ (2.9)	5.86 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
56%

Draw
28.2%

Nueva Chicago
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

31.4%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

30.3%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ferrocarril Midland - Nueva Chicago Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ferrocarril will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leguiza M. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Castorani P. 6. Recalde L. 3. Casarico P. 10. Roseti M. 5. Violini N. (C) 8. Camano J. 9. Luna R. 7. Bulacio D. 11. Marin F.	1. Masuero F. (G) 2. Gissi D. 3. Arroyo D. 4. Palazzo B. 6. Zalazar R. E. 5. Mendez E. (C) 7. Gonzalez A. 8. Rodriguez T. 10. Ocampo T. 11. Rogoski M. 9. Perez M.
Substitutes
15. Abruzzese M. 14. Canalda J. 20. Cao R. 19. Flores M. 16. Frattini M. 12. Garcia Rossi S. (G) 17. Madalon V. 13. Penepil M. 18. Perales J.	17. Barros D. 20. Bergara M. 15. Cardozo E. 18. Cocimano S. 14. Ferracutti G. 12. Jachfe L. (G) 16. Roldan E. 19. Ruiz A. 13. Velozo G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Mendez E. 🟨,
32', Rogoski M. 🟨,
35', Marin F. 🟨,
35', Zalazar R. E. 🟨,
38', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Luna R. ⚽, Roseti M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rogoski M. ↓, Barros D. ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Roseti M. ⚽,
60', Luna R. ↓, Frattini M. ↑,
60', Marin F. ↓, Perales J. ↑,
61', Barros D. 🟨,
68', Ocampo T. 🟨,
74', Mendez E. ↓, Roldan E. ↑,
74', Palazzo B. ↓, Cardozo E. ↑,
74', Arroyo D. ↓, Bergara M. ↑,
79', Bulacio D. ↓, Madalon V. ↑,
84', Gonzalez A. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
86', Roseti M. ↓, Cao R. ↑,
86', Diaz Laharque L. ↓, Canalda J. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14).

Ferrocarril has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nueva Chicago is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ferrocarril may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ferrocarril has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ferrocarril is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferrocarril won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Ferrocarril Midland - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.04%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.08.26	Temperley - Ferrocarril Midland	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
18.08.26	Banfield - Ferrocarril Midland	3:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.08.26	Acassuso - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Maipú	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Club Almagro - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTWT
- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.08.26	San Martín de San Juan - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Nueva Chicago - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
17.08.26	All Boys - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Nueva Chicago	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Nueva Chicago - San Martín de Tucumán	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.26	Nueva Chicago - Ferrocarril Midland	2:2

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