The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Patronato Parana 34.5%
Draw 34%
San Martín de San Juan 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
33.4%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36%
33.4%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
60%
40%
Patronato Parana - San Martín de San Juan Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sosa A. (G) 4. Rueda W. 2. Meritello F. 6. Evangelista F. 3. Genez N. 8. Salas J. 5. Picco A. 10. Barinaga J. P. 11. Pereyra V. L. 9. Reynaga R. 7. Barolin J.
1. Diaz Robles S. (G) 4. Nadalin F. 2. Osores M. 6. Marchio J. 11. Acosta G. 5. Mercado Carrizo D. A. 8. Murillo F. 3. Alvarez D. 7. Rossi G. 9. Funez N. 10. Gonzalez S.
Substitutes
20. Attis T. 17. Bravo B. 15. Brugevin M. 13. Diaz F. N. 16. Heredia F. 14. Piccioni S. 12. Rivasseau F. (G) 18. Salega G. 19. Soldano F.
17. Acosta L. 13. Aguilera E. 20. Coronel F. 19. Ferreyra L. 12. Garzon L. (G) 18. Juncos B. 14. Monje L. 15. Paz N. 16. Zuliani H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Reynaga R. ⚽,
5', Nadalin F. 🟨,
9', Salas J. 🟨,
17', Reynaga R. 🟨,
20', Marchio J. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Reynaga R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Acosta G. ↓, Coronel F. ↑,
46', Nadalin F. ↓, Ferreyra L. ↑,
68', Alvarez D. ↓, Zuliani H. ↑,
71', Gonzalez S. 🟥,
79', Rueda W. 🟨,
84', Marchio J. ↓, Aguilera E. ↑,
90', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 0.
In recent outings, Patronato has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
San Martín shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Patronato has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:12 (averaging 0.9:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Patronato against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Patronato Parana - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.96%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.