Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 5

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Malvinas Argentinas (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	San Miguel		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	6	Watch
	1.78	3.2	4.6
	1.72	3.2	5.4	Watch
	1.69	3.43	6.79
	1.75	3.24	5.46
	1.67	3.2	5.8
	1.66	3.4	5.74	Watch
	1.66	3.3	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.75)	3.3 ↑ (3.19)	5.7 ↑ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Miguel
55.2%

Draw
28.4%

Alvarado
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

28.8%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

San Miguel - Alvarado Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Miguel will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sappa D. (G) 4. Peruzzi G. 2. Kippes A. 6. Parnisari E. 3. Grance I. 10. Aleman B. 5. Erbes C. (C) 8. Mosca C. 7. Parisi L. 9. Nasta B. 11. Lavezzi A.	1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Werro V. 2. Blasi B. 6. James J. 3. Gorgerino C. 5. Bolivar A. 8. Gobetto J. 10. Martinez E. 7. Russo F. 11. Becker D. (C) 9. Amilivia T.
Substitutes
17. Almada A. 14. Antunes I. 18. Dening E. 15. Ferrero J. 13. Ihitz N. 19. Juarez J. 12. Lungarzo J. (G) 20. Rojas M. 16. Sena F.	16. Bergara M. 19. Bolzicco T. 17. Borgnino M. 18. Castellano A. 12. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 15. Martinez Candia C. A. 14. Ortale M. 20. Ortiz D. 13. Silva K.
Coaches
Battaglia S.	Matteo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Parnisari E. 🟨,
23', Blasi B. 🟨,
23', Bolivar A. 🟨,
25', Gorgerino C. 🟨,
27', Nasta B. 🟨,
34', Becker D. ↓, Castellano A. ↑,
45+1', 1 - 0, Parisi L. ⚽,
45+1', Parisi L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bolivar A. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
54', Aleman B. ↓, Dening E. ↑,
54', Lavezzi A. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
60', Parisi L. ↓, Ferrero J. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Nasta B. ⚽, Dening E. (A),
67', Martinez E. ↓, Bolzicco T. ↑,
67', Amilivia T. ↓, Borgnino M. ↑,
67', Russo F. ↓, Bergara M. ↑,
76', Nasta B. ↓, Sena F. ↑,
77', Mosca C. ↓, Almada A. ↑,

Preview

Alvarado could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match San Miguel is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches San Miguel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams San Miguel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.03.25	Deportivo Madryn - San Miguel	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	San Miguel - Deportivo Maipú	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - San Miguel	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	San Miguel - Tristán Suárez	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Deportivo Madryn - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLWT
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.03.25	Alvarado - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
24.02.25	Racing de Córdoba - Alvarado	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Alvarado - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Colegiales - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.09.24	San Miguel - Alvarado	2:0
28.04.24	Alvarado - San Miguel	1:0

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