Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA B - APERTURA - ROUND 10

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	San Miguel		Ituzaingó

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.2	5.25
	1.4	3.8	7
	1.59	3.34	6.13
	1.6	3.1	6
	1.59	3.48	6.3
	1.59	3.35	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.9)	3.38 ↑ (3.04)	6.08 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Miguel
58.1%

Draw
26.9%

Ituzaingó
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

30.1%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

31.1%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Miguel's performance.

Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ituzaingó might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Miguel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ituzaingó could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Miguel - Ituzaingó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 and 14).

Two teams are playing changeable.

San Miguel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match San Miguel is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches San Miguel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams San Miguel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera B
08.04.23	Comunicaciones - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	San Miguel - Cañuelas	0:0 ✺
25.03.23	UAI Urquiza - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	San Miguel - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:2 ✺
14.03.23	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTTLT
- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera B
07.04.23	Ituzaingó - Villa San Carlos	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Colegiales - Ituzaingó	0:0 ✺
27.03.23	Ituzaingó - Argentino de Quilmes	2:0 ✺
21.03.23	Los Andes - Ituzaingó	3:0 ✺
10.03.23	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Armenio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
02.10.22	San Miguel - Ituzaingó	2:0
04.06.22	Ituzaingó - San Miguel	1:0

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