The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ituzaingó 29.8%
Draw 29%
Argentino de Quilmes 41.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.9%
29.9%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.7%
28.6%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
The chances for Argentino de Quilmes have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Ituzaingó - Argentino de Quilmes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 22nd in the Relegation - Primera C (Apertura: ) and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 3.
Ituzaingó has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Argentino de Quilmes have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Argentino de Quilmes may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Argentino de Quilmes is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Ituzaingó has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:6 (averaging 1:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ituzaingó against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Argentino de Quilmes
38
9
16
13
30:37
-7
43
22
Ituzaingo
38
1
12
25
25:62
-37
15
Last Results with these Odds
Ituzaingó - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 28.91%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
Argentino de Quilmes - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 41.2%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.