The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Ituzaingó 20.1%
Draw 29.2%
Argentino de Quilmes 50.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.9%
29.9%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.7%
28.6%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ituzaingó's form might have worsened.
Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentino de Quilmes's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituzaingó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentino de Quilmes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ituzaingó - Argentino de Quilmes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Almiron A. (G) 3. Bermejo M. 5. Desposito P. (C) 7. Fanti J. 8. Fernandez J. 4. Garcia L. 2. Martinez J. 10. Maza J. 9. Odunukwe J. 6. Politano R. 11. Sala H.
1. Yzaurralde N. (G) 3. Barreto R. 17. Ceccotti M. 2. Cettou J. 19. Compagnucci M. 14. Diez E. 4. Lando F. 16. Sanchez N. 10. Torancio E. 5. Vega M. 6. Zarate E.
Substitutes
16. Barea T. 12. Barraza L. (G) 19. Gras S. 13. Mantovani E. 20. Moreira 14. Regules I. 15. Salvadores J. 18. Santiago N. 17. Sotelo A.
18. Cecconato A. 12. Cheppi G. (G) . Cosciuc F. 15. Escudero L. . Filliol F. . Filosa L. . Gomez M. 11. Kruger J. 7. Martinez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Compagnucci M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 🟨,
55', 0 - 2, Lando F. ⚽,
57', 🟨,
61', Fernandez J. ↓, Sotelo A. ↑,
61', Sala H. ↓, Santiago N. ↑,
66', Odunukwe J. ↓, Gras S. ↑,
66', Maza J. ↓, Moreira ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Moreira ⚽,
74', Garcia L. ↓, Regules I. ↑,
85', 🟨,
86', 2 - 2, Regules I. ⚽,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 22nd in the Relegation - Primera C (Apertura: ) and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 3.
Ituzaingó has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Argentino de Quilmes have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Argentino de Quilmes may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Argentino de Quilmes is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Ituzaingó has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:6 (averaging 1:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ituzaingó against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Argentino de Quilmes
41
10
17
14
33:40
-7
47
22
Ituzaingo ✔
41
1
14
26
28:67
-39
17
Last Results with these Odds
Ituzaingó - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 28.91%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
Argentino de Quilmes - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 41.2%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Watch
#ad
Almiron A. (G) 
Diez E. 
Moreira 
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
