Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 33

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	San Roque de Lepe		El Palo

	1	X	2
	1.75	3	4.5
	1.83	3.2	4.5
	1.84	3.08	4.88
	1.85	3.08	4.88
	1.79	3.27	4.65
	1.82	2.95	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.08)	3.1 ↑ (2.93)	4.69 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Roque de Lepe
50.7%

Draw
29.7%

El Palo
19.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.1%

31.3%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

31.4%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Roque de Lepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Roque de Lepe's performance.

El Palo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Roque de Lepe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

San Roque de Lepe - El Palo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches San Roque de Lepe is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

El Palo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match San Roque de Lepe is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Roque de Lepe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams San Roque de Lepe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.04.24	UCAM Murcia - San Roque de Lepe	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	San Roque de Lepe - Vélez	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Sevilla B - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Marbella - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	San Roque de Lepe - Racing Cartagena MM	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLW
- CD El Palo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.04.24	El Palo - Racing Cartagena MM	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Linense - El Palo	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	El Palo - Cadiz CF B	3:1 ✺
31.03.24	Estepona - El Palo	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	El Palo - Manchego	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.12.23	El Palo - San Roque de Lepe	1:0
07.02.15	San Roque de Lepe - El Palo	1:2
20.09.14	El Palo - San Roque de Lepe	4:0

San Roque de Lepe - El Palo