The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Sebastian Reyes 38.9%
Draw 32.3%
UD Logroñés 28.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
29.5%
25.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
30.7%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Sebastian Reyes's form might have worsened.
UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Sebastian Reyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-4%)
San Sebastian Reyes - UD Logroñés Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Garci (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (0 - 1)
114', 1 - 1, Cabetas E. ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 0-1.
SS Reyes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Logroñés is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
SS Reyes might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SS Reyes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, SS Reyes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
San Sebastian Reyes - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.85%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.