Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 11

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Baletto (Dock Sud)

Referee: Rivero R. (Arg)


	San Telmo		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	3
	2.4	2.87	3
	2.4	2.9	3.1
	2.62	2.83	3.24
	2.45	2.75	3.1
	2.51	2.93	3.14
	2.45	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.4)	2.9 ↓ (3.03)	3.08 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Telmo
37.7%

Draw
32.1%

Guillermo Brown
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.7%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

27.3%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Telmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guillermo Brown could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

San Telmo - Guillermo Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. San Telmo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 14).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Telmo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams San Telmo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.23	Agropecuario Argentino - San Telmo	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	San Telmo - Club Almagro	3:2 ✺
19.03.23	Temperley - San Telmo	3:0 ✺
13.03.23	San Telmo - San Martín de Tucumán	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Nueva Chicago - San Telmo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWLWL
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.23	Guillermo Brown - Temperley	2:2 ✺
31.03.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Guillermo Brown	0:1 ✺
26.03.23	Guillermo Brown - Nueva Chicago	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	All Boys - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Guillermo Brown - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.09.22	San Telmo - Guillermo Brown	4:1
15.08.21	San Telmo - Guillermo Brown	1:2
04.04.21	Guillermo Brown - San Telmo	1:2

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