Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 8

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Delbarba J. (Arg)


	Guillermo Brown		Nueva Chicago

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.25
	2.15	2.9	3.4
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.23	2.95	3.9
	2.2	2.8	3.5
	2.23	2.94	3.72	Watch
	2.2	3.05	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.21)	2.95 ↓ (2.98)	3.48 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
42.2%

Draw
31.3%

Nueva Chicago
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

32%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

29.6%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Guillermo Brown - Nueva Chicago Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 2.

Guillermo Brown is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nueva Chicago is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guillermo Brown will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Guillermo Brown won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.03.23	All Boys - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Guillermo Brown - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
06.03.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Guillermo Brown	4:1 ✺
26.02.23	Guillermo Brown - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Deportivo Morón - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLLTT
- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.03.23	Nueva Chicago - Agropecuario Argentino	0:1 ✺
12.03.23	Club Almagro - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
04.03.23	Nueva Chicago - San Telmo	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Temperley - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
20.02.23	Nueva Chicago - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.04.22	Nueva Chicago - Guillermo Brown	2:2
03.01.21	Nueva Chicago - Guillermo Brown	1:1
13.10.19	Guillermo Brown - Nueva Chicago	2:0
16.09.18	Guillermo Brown - Nueva Chicago	0:1
15.04.18	Guillermo Brown - Nueva Chicago	2:0
29.04.17	Nueva Chicago - Guillermo Brown	2:0
15.03.17	Guillermo Brown - Nueva Chicago	0:3

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