Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 9

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Baletto (Dock Sud)

Referee: Broggi J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	San Telmo		Temperley

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.6	Watch
	2.7	2.87	2.65
	2.95	2.85	2.55	Watch
	3.14	2.66	2.7	Watch
	2.75	2.88	2.62
	3.02	2.82	2.62	Watch
	2.95	2.85	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.12)	2.82 ↓ (2.89)	2.61 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Telmo
31.6%

Draw
32.9%

Temperley
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

31.9%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

31%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Telmo's form might have worsened.

Temperley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Temperley's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Telmo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Temperley than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Temperley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

San Telmo - Temperley Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Telmo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rufinetti A. (G) 4. Dell Aquila N. 2. Pollacchi L. 6. Morro N. 3. Ojeda L. 8. Uriburu R. 5. Yangali J. (C) 10. Astina M. 7. Larthirigoyen I. 9. Cocimano S. 11. Cesar L.	1. Mastrolia E. (G) 4. Magallanes D. 3. Aguinagalde V. 6. Lamosa A. 2. Lucero L. 11. Milo F. 8. Toledo A. 5. Arregui A. (C) 10. Nieto L. 7. Hauche G. 9. Ayunta F.
Substitutes
17. Aguirre F. 20. Aquilino G. 16. Britez E. 18. Curcio N. 12. Enrico J. C. (G) 13. Formichelli S. 19. Salerno M. 14. Sosa R. 15. Tello F.	18. Brandan F. 12. Diaz V. (G) 13. Duarte B. 19. Frias J. 15. Genez N. 14. Monti L. 17. Pombo C. 16. Richarte L. 20. Toledo J.
Coaches
Monasterio C.	Forestello R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Aguinagalde V. ⚽,
23', Arregui A. 🟨,
23', Cocimano S. 🟨,
30', Uriburu R. 🟨,
33', Morro N. 🟨,
40', Lamosa A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Cesar L. ↓, Curcio N. ↑,
57', Hauche G. ↓, Brandan F. ↑,
57', Toledo A. ↓, Richarte L. ↑,
58', Magallanes D. 🟨,
77', Magallanes D. ↓, Monti L. ↑,
79', Mastrolia E. 🟨,
81', Yangali J. ↓, Aquilino G. ↑,
81', Ojeda L. ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Nieto L. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 3, Brandan F. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Telmo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams San Telmo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.03.25	Defensores Unidos - San Telmo	2:2 ✺
22.03.25	San Telmo - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Deportivo Morón - San Telmo	1:1 ✺
10.03.25	San Telmo - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
05.03.25	Deportivo Riestra - San Telmo	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWTWL
- CA Temperley
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.03.25	Temperley - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Temperley	2:0 ✺
17.03.25	Temperley - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Central Norte - Temperley	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Temperley - Almirante Brown	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.07.24	Temperley - San Telmo	0:0
11.03.24	San Telmo - Temperley	3:0
22.07.23	San Telmo - Temperley	0:0
19.03.23	Temperley - San Telmo	3:0
23.04.22	San Telmo - Temperley	3:1

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