The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Telmo 28.6%
Draw 33%
Estudiantes de Caseros 38.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.9%
33.5%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
33.4%
37.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-1%)
San Telmo - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Enrico J. C. (G) 4. Diaz E. 3. Roncaglia F. 2. Pollacchi L. 6. Romero P. 8. Motroni J. 11. Paredes G. 7. Uriburu R. 5. Britez E. 10. Batallini M. 9. Molina N.
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 4. Albarracin M. 2. Benitez J. 6. Caro Nicolas 3. Quinteros F. 5. Melo R. 7. Ardiles F. 8. Rostagno D. 10. Sena F. 11. Acosta E. 9. Acosta M.
Substitutes
18. Baez F. 15. Dinocco R. 19. Gamarra R. 14. Gonzalez J. 13. Iritier J. 17. Larthirigoyen I. 20. Nunez C. 16. Porto J. 12. Rial J. (G)
20. Almiron E. 13. Bernardi B. 18. Camacho S. 14. Dure F. 17. Nunez M. 16. Sanchez de Leon B. 15. Squie T. 19. Vera I. 12. Vila F. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Uriburu R. 🟨,
25', Caro Nicolas 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Paredes G. ↓, Gamarra R. ↑,
60', Diaz E. 🟨,
63', 0 - 1, Rostagno D. ⚽, Sena F. (A),
66', Caro Nicolas ↓, Bernardi B. ↑,
67', Ardiles F. 🟨,
67', Ardiles F. ↓, Dure F. ↑,
70', Romero P. 🟨,
72', Romero P. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
72', Batallini M. ↓, Larthirigoyen I. ↑,
72', Uriburu R. ↓, Porto J. ↑,
74', Rostagno D. ↓, Vera I. ↑,
74', Acosta E. ↓, Almiron E. ↑,
79', Motroni J. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
81', Acosta M. ↓, Sanchez de Leon B. ↑,
83', Quinteros F. 🟨,
90+4', Pollacchi L. 🟨,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 16th and 7th in the Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, San Telmo has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:13 (averaging 0.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Telmo against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:3 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).
Watch
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Enrico J. C. (G) 
Nunez C. 
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