Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion Ojca Władysława Augustynka (Nowy Sącz)

Referee: Wajda T. (Pol)


	Sandecja Nowy Sącz		Arka Gdynia

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.1
	3	3.2	2.2
	2.95	3.35	2.25
	3.27	3.51	2.21
	3	3	2.25
	3.05	3.32	2.24	Watch
	2.88	3.35	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)	3.3 ↑ (3.28)	2.23 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandecja Nowy Sącz
30.6%

Draw
27.9%

Arka Gdynia
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

28.1%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27.1%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandecja Nowy Sącz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandecja Nowy Sącz than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	50%	40%

Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Arka Gdynia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sandecja will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Arka will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sandecja won 1.

Recent matches Sandecja is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arka is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sandecja could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

Arka will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Sandecja won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Sandecja won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Polish Division 1
20.02.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Resovia Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
10.02.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Górnik Łęczna	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.02.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Garbarnia Kraków	1:3 ✺
03.02.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Zemplín Michalovce	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Stal Rzeszów - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLTT
- Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1
18.02.23	Arka Gdynia - Wisła Kraków	1:3 ✺
11.02.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Arka Gdynia	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.02.23	Arka Gdynia - Radunia Stężyca	2:1 ✺
27.01.23	Arka Gdynia - Stomil Olsztyn	2:2 ✺
20.01.23	Arka Gdynia - Olimpia Elbląg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
05.08.22	Arka Gdynia - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:1
22.05.22	Arka Gdynia - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1
14.11.21	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Arka Gdynia	3:1
19.05.21	Arka Gdynia - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3:0
08.11.20	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Arka Gdynia	1:5
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.04.18	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Arka Gdynia	3:1
25.11.17	Arka Gdynia - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	5:0

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