The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zagłębie Sosnowiec 22.9%
Draw 25.6%
Arka Gdynia 51.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.6%
26.4%
42%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.9%
25.8%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie Sosnowiec's form might have worsened.
Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arka Gdynia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie Sosnowiec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arka Gdynia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Arka Gdynia Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Zagłębie Sosnowiec will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Arka will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Kos M. (G) 29. Rozwandowicz M. (C) 13. Dalic V. 27. Jonczy D. 16. Ryndak D. 14. Bonecki S. 18. Guezen D. 19. Ziemann M. 17. Valencia J. 95. Zielonka N. 9. Bilinski K.
95. Lenarcik P. (G) 39. Lipkowski K. 29. Marcjanik M. 4. Dobrotka M. 94. Gojny D. (C) 6. Milewski S. 55. Gol J. 21. Skora K. 11. Adamczyk H. 7. Kobacki O. 10. Czubak K.
Substitutes
28. Bebenek K. 96. Calinski P. 10. Camara J. 11. Fabry M. 99. Kulawiak A. 4. Machala M. 1. Sorcan G. (G) 80. Uchnast L. 77. Wrzesinski K.
13. Azatsky O. 36. Bednarski M. 20. Borecki M. 84. Chudy M. (G) 1. Krzepisz K. (G) 38. Predenkiewicz M. 99. Wilczynski J. 28. Zielinski W.
Coaches
Derbin A.
Lobodzinski W.
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 1.
Zagłębie Sosnowiec is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Arka is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Arka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Arka is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.
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Kos M. (G) 
Dalic V. 
Guezen D. 
Ziemann M. 
Valencia J. 
Dobrotka M. 
Camara J. 
Sorcan G. (G) 
Azatsky O. 
