Match Info

Division 2 - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Ojca Władysława Augustynka (Nowy Sącz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Sandecja Nowy Sącz		Stal Stalowa Wola

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.3
	2.38	3.25	2.58
	2.67	3.42	2.38
	1.63	4.04	4.67	Watch
	2.34	3.52	2.8	Watch
	2.32	3.35	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.43)	3.48 ↑ (3.13)	2.91 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandecja Nowy Sącz
40.6%

Draw
27%

Stal Stalowa Wola
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

29%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

28.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandecja Nowy Sącz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandecja Nowy Sącz than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (+1%)

Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Stal Stalowa Wola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Jelen M. (G) 47. Blyszko W. 28. Cwielong K. 33. Kasprzak B. 19. Kolbon T. 98. Ogorzaly K. 10. Pietraszkiewicz D. 25. Piszczek F. 26. Rutkowski M. 24. Slaby K. (C) 11. Talar K.	53. Stepak J. (G) 4. Furtak L. (C) 23. Getinger K. 8. Hrnciar L. 77. Kendzia J. 16. Lelek K. 55. Oko D. 7. Radecki M. 18. Surzyn M. 19. Wolny D. 11. Zaucha P.
Substitutes
29. Brenkus A. 9. Klos W. 27. Kubista V. 92. Orzel A. 91. Polacek M. (G) 74. Skalecki P. 16. Smajdor K. 7. Wolsztynski R. 77. Zietek L.	43. Fedejko I. 2. Kukulowicz B. 9. Lacki D. 20. Niedbala J. 99. Nowak O. 33. Smylek M. (G) 13. Svec J. 44. Tyburczy M. 6. Zemlo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Piszczek F. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Zaucha P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', Cwielong K. ↓, Zietek L. ↑,
60', Radecki M. 🟨,
63', Surzyn M. ↓, Svec J. ↑,
63', Lelek K. ↓, Nowak O. ↑,
70', Oko D. ↓, Zemlo P. ↑,
75', Furtak L. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Kolbon T. ⚽,
83', Pietraszkiewicz D. ↓, Skalecki P. ↑,
83', Piszczek F. ↓, Wolsztynski R. ↑,
83', Kolbon T. ↓, Klos W. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Svec J. ⚽,
88', Wolny D. ↓, Kukulowicz B. ↑,
88', Kendzia J. ↓, Lacki D. ↑,
90', Hrnciar L. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 3, Lacki D. ⚽,
90+3', Lacki D. 🟨,
90+7', Furtak L. 🟨,
90+9', Kukulowicz B. 🟨,

Preview

Sandecja is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stal Stalowa Wola's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sandecja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sandecja won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Sandecja won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Sandecja Nowy Sącz - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.3%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Polish Division 2
31.08.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Hutnik - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Swit Skolwin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWWW
- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 2
07.09.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Swit Skolwin	5:2 ✺
30.08.25	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:2 ✺
22.08.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Unia Skierniewice	2:2 ✺
17.08.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - KKS Kalisz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.01.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:0
Polish Division 2
28.03.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1
16.09.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:0

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