Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 24

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Jotun Arena (Sandefjord)

Referee: Grotta M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
World	Onefootball


	Sandefjord		Bryne

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.9	4	Watch
	1.8	3.7	4
	1.85	3.9	3.9
	1.72	4.29	4.63
	1.74	3.71	4.53	Watch
	1.84	3.87	4.06	Watch
	1.84	3.75	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.6)	3.87 ↓ (4.37)	4.14 ↓ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandefjord
52.7%

Draw
24.4%

Bryne
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

21.8%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

21.9%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandefjord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sandefjord's form might have worsened.

Bryne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sandefjord, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bryne than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Sandefjord - Bryne Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sandefjord (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sandefjord will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Eriksson C. (G) 4. Pedersen F. 2. Smajlovic Z. 47. Kristiansen S. 17. Cheng C. 18. Ottosson F. 7. Patoulidis E. 14. Pettersen E. 8. Dzabic R. 27. Dunsby J. 23. Sigurdarson S. I.	12. de Boer J. (G) 17. Qvigstad L. 5. Haahr J. 2. Skovgaard A. 14. Saunes E. 22. Larsen H. 8. Sodal L. 19. Strunck N. 24. Thellufsen R. 18. Moreira D. 9. Bojadzic S.
Substitutes
19. Berntsen B. 3. Egeli V. 22. Gjone M. 30. Hadaya E. (G) 9. Hanstad J. 11. Isufi B. 24. Mathisen S. 21. Swift J. 5. van der Spa A.	1. Cajtoft A. (G) 16. Gaye D. 20. Gregersen J. 10. Grodem M. 23. Haland K. 4. Landu-Landu Ch. 11. Scriven A. 3. Wik P. A.
Coaches
Tegstrom A.	Knappen O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Bojadzic S. 🟨,
57', Moreira D. ↓, Grodem M. ↑,
68', Thellufsen R. ↓, Scriven A. ↑,
71', Patoulidis E. ↓, Egeli V. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Dunsby J. ⚽, Dzabic R. (A),
87', Larsen H. ↓, Gregersen J. ↑,
87', Sodal L. ↓, Haland K. ↑,
87', Qvigstad L. ↓, Landu-Landu Ch. ↑,
89', Dzabic R. ↓, Mathisen S. ↑,
89', Cheng C. ↓, Hanstad J. ↑,
90+2', Pettersen E. ↓, Gjone M. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sandefjord won 4.

Sandefjord is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bryne has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sandefjord may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sandefjord is the team to beat.

There will not play in Sandefjord: Mettler L. (Yellow Cards) Mork S. (Injury)

There will not play in Bryne: Jonassen S. T. (Thigh Injury) Svindland A. (Knee Injury) Thornes M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Sandefjord: Hadaya E. (Foot Injury) Loftesnes-Bjune F. (Knock) Melchior M. (Knock)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sandefjord won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:5. (average 2.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sandefjord won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 2.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandefjord Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
29.09.25	Haugesund - Sandefjord	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Sandefjord - Brann	0:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
17.09.25	Tromsdalen - Sandefjord	6:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
14.09.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Sandefjord	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Sandefjord - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL
- Bryne FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.09.25	Bryne - Kristiansund	2:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.09.25	Brattvåg - Bryne	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.09.25	Fredrikstad - Bryne	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Bryne - Tromsø	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Vålerenga - Bryne	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
01.06.25	Bryne - Sandefjord	3:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.10.16	Sandefjord - Bryne	1:0
19.06.16	Bryne - Sandefjord	0:2
08.08.14	Sandefjord - Bryne	5:0
01.05.14	Bryne - Sandefjord	1:3
Club Friendly
15.03.14	Sandefjord - Bryne	1:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.08.13	Sandefjord - Bryne	2:0

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