Match Info

NM Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Øster Hus Arena (Sandnes)


	Sandnes Ulf		Lillestrøm SK

	1	X	2
	6.5	5.5	1.3
	5.4	4.95	1.44
	5.47	5.14	1.45
	5.71	4.82	1.44	Watch
	6.3	5.05	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.88 ↑ (5.03)	5.09 ↑ (4.63)	1.41 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sandnes Ulf
15.8%

Draw
18.3%

Lillestrøm SK
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

19.9%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

19.6%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandnes Ulf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandnes Ulf than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sandnes Ulf - Lillestrøm SK Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lillestrøm (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Lillestrøm (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Lillestrøm (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lillestrøm SK will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lillestrøm (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Falch A. (G) 19. Pereira K. 5. Oregaard G. (C) 3. Berger E. 2. Egell-Johnsen K. 7. Kostadinov K. 8. Saugestad S. 18. Bruseth A. 17. Nyhagen A. 10. Osenbroch E. 9. Sundgot O.	1. Hagerup S. (G) 2. Ranger L. (C) 4. Garnas E. B. 5. Foss S. 19. Tonnesen K. 32. Woxen H. 6. Hoff V. 17. Kitolano E. 26. Paintsil Y. 33. Diop M. 20. Felix Va
Substitutes
22. Arifagic D. 23. Berland E. 25. Berntsen A. 4. Gayi E. 21. Haland T. 15. Jensen H. 11. Kvernstuen J. 13. Sola M. (G)	7. Alperud L. 15. Drammeh S. 11. Elkaer F. 12. Hedenstad M. (G) 8. Karlsbakk M. 31. Ntiso A. C. 10. Olsen T. 30. Svenningsen L.
Coaches
Cleveland A.	Odegaard H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Woxen H. ⚽, Tonnesen K. (A),
33', Woxen H. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Pereira K. ⚽, Saugestad S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, Felix Va ⚽, Tonnesen K. (A),
57', Osenbroch E. 🟨,
63', Egell-Johnsen K. 🟨,
63', Kitolano E. (Pen),
70', Woxen H. ↓, Karlsbakk M. ↑,
70', Diop M. ↓, Olsen T. ↑,
72', Egell-Johnsen K. ↓, Kvernstuen J. ↑,
77', Sundgot O. ↓, Jensen H. ↑,
80', Nyhagen A. ↓, Berland E. ↑,
80', Kostadinov K. ↓, Haland T. ↑,
80', Osenbroch E. ↓, Arifagic D. ↑,
83', Felix Va ↓, Drammeh S. ↑,
86', Foss S. 🟨,
88', Kitolano E. 🟨,
90', Arifagic D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sandnes Ulf won 0.

Sandnes Ulf is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lillestrøm is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Lillestrøm is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sandnes Ulf won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sandnes Ulf won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandnes Ulf
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
20.09.25	Flekkerøy - Sandnes Ulf	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Sandnes Ulf - Brann 2	5:0 ✺
07.09.25	Træff - Sandnes Ulf	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Sandnes Ulf - Jerv	4:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Djerv 1919 - Sandnes Ulf	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWW
- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.09.25	Lillestrøm SK - Mjøndalen	4:1 ✺
13.09.25	Sogndal - Lillestrøm SK	1:5 ✺
30.08.25	Lillestrøm SK - Skeid	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Hønefoss - Lillestrøm SK	2:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.08.25	Raufoss - Lillestrøm SK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.10.20	Lillestrøm SK - Sandnes Ulf	4:2
14.07.20	Sandnes Ulf - Lillestrøm SK	1:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
10.08.14	Sandnes Ulf - Lillestrøm SK	0:0
06.04.14	Lillestrøm SK - Sandnes Ulf	4:1
29.09.13	Sandnes Ulf - Lillestrøm SK	1:1
16.05.13	Lillestrøm SK - Sandnes Ulf	2:2
05.08.12	Sandnes Ulf - Lillestrøm SK	N/A

Upcoming Matches