Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 22

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Fosshaugane Campus (Sogndal)

Referee: Koloy M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Sogndal		Lillestrøm SK

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.6
	4.6	4.2	1.57
	4.85	4.45	1.58
	4.95	4.49	1.59
	4.61	3.24	1.84	Watch
	4.9	4.33	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↑ (4.64)	4.15 ↓ (4.35)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sogndal
19.5%

Draw
22.7%

Lillestrøm SK
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

21.6%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

21.1%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sogndal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Lillestrøm SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Sogndal - Lillestrøm SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sogndal will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Lillestrøm will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sogndal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jendal L. (G) 2. Bras D. 4. Holten R. 13. Flo P. (C) 17. Sjolstad M. 33. Granheim S. A. 8. Flaten J. 10. Skaanes K. 16. Vapne L. 9. Hintsa O. 7. Pedersen S.	12. Hedenstad M. (G) 2. Ranger L. 4. Garnas E. B. 28. Gabrielsen R. 11. Elkaer F. 8. Karlsbakk M. 6. Hoff V. 17. Kitolano E. 26. Paintsil Y. 10. Olsen T. 15. Drammeh S.
Substitutes
20. Asp P. 18. Hagen V. 6. Hoyland M. 22. Kalstad A. 34. Kongelf K. 31. Nundal J. 19. Pippola T. 21. Saetren D. (G) 38. Sundal A. (G)	33. Diop M. 20. Felix Va 5. Foss S. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 64. Larsson E. 31. Ntiso A. C. 30. Svenningsen L. 19. Tonnesen K. 32. Woxen H.
Coaches
Pimenta L.	Odegaard H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Karlsbakk M. ⚽, Kitolano E. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Skaanes K. ⚽, Flaten J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', 1 - 2, Paintsil Y. ⚽,
49', 1 - 3, Ranger L. ⚽,
64', 1 - 4, Drammeh S. ⚽,
68', Vapne L. ↓, Pippola T. ↑,
69', Flaten J. ↓, Hagen V. ↑,
70', Flo P. ↓, Hoyland M. ↑,
74', Olsen T. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
74', Drammeh S. ↓, Felix Va ↑,
78', Hintsa O. ↓, Asp P. ↑,
82', Felix Va 🟨,
83', Elkaer F. ↓, Tonnesen K. ↑,
83', Garnas E. B. ↓, Foss S. ↑,
83', Paintsil Y. ↓, Woxen H. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 5, Karlsbakk M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sogndal won 1.

Sogndal is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lillestrøm is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Sogndal has had a series of away games.

In this match, Lillestrøm is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sogndal won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sogndal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.08.25	Åsane - Sogndal	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Sogndal - Moss	3:1 ✺
18.08.25	Stabæk - Sogndal	1:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Bjarg - Sogndal	2:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.08.25	Mjøndalen - Sogndal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWLW
- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.08.25	Lillestrøm SK - Skeid	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Hønefoss - Lillestrøm SK	2:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.08.25	Raufoss - Lillestrøm SK	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Lillestrøm SK - Start	3:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Lørenskog - Lillestrøm SK	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.06.25	Lillestrøm SK - Sogndal	0:0
Norwegian NM Cup
12.03.23	Sogndal - Lillestrøm SK	1:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.11.20	Sogndal - Lillestrøm SK	0:1
04.08.20	Lillestrøm SK - Sogndal	0:2
Club Friendly
27.01.18	Sogndal - Lillestrøm SK	1:4
Norwegian Eliteserien
15.10.17	Lillestrøm SK - Sogndal	1:0
30.04.17	Sogndal - Lillestrøm SK	0:1

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